27th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

27th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0900 EZ DRAGHI 1030 EZ AUC 1100 UK CARNEY
1500 US CONS CONF

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – ID X 2. BOF OF HI? LO. 64.99

Big Picture

60m – UP TR, hold 94 bac 44 for cont

10m – Neutral, bac of bal and d.pb to source of BO @ 10. Hold 07 and bac 44 for cont of bo, bac of 07 brings bo into doubt.

Context Play

1. Balance

Short: hold 36-44 t 25 t16

Long: hold / bof 07 t25 36

2. Dwn

Short: bac 70 t 99-94 bac 99 t 82-79

3. Up

Long: bac 44 t 55 t2 66-73

26th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

26th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News
 

0900 GE IFO 1330 US CORE DIR

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day - ID X 2 HI 65.25/29 LO 64.88/79

Big Picture

240m - Neu, LL and then HL for t/c hold 65.29 bac 64.79 then bac 64.13. Note with a d.pb from 64.13 to 65.29 indicates poss balance 64.13-65.55

60m - Neu, Balance 64.79-65.29

10m - Neutral, Balance 64.79-65.29

Context Play

1. Bac of balance

Short: bac 88 t 79 t2 70 bac 70 t 63-56

Long: bac 29 t45 t2 50-55

2. Outside in - Bof
 

Short: bof 65.25-34 t 15 t2 06

Long: bof 64.79 t 90 t2 06

13th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

13th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0800 SP CPI 0930 UK CPI 1000 GE ZEW
1330 US PPI

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – Range day with up close

Big Picture

60m – UP TR, hold 64.74 bac 65.18 for cont (poss bal 65.18 – 64.51)

10m – Neutral, bac 65.26-64.97

Context Play

1. Cont Up

Long: bac 65.26 t 35-45 bac t 66-73 bac 83-00

2. Balance

Short: BOF / hold 65.20-26 t1 00 t2 64.90-86

Long: Bof / hold 80-74 t 00

3. Dwn

Short: bac 74 t 65 mt 57-50

12th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

12th June – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News
 

1400 FR AUC

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day - Range day with weak down close

Big Picture

60m - UP TR, hold 64.74 bac 65.18 for cont (poss bal 65.18 - 64.51)

10m - Neutral, bac 65.10 - 64.74 for dir

Context Play

1. Cont Up

Long: bac 65.10 t 65.18-27 bac 18 t 35-45 bac 45 MT 66-73

2. Balance

Short: BOF / hold 65.10 t 64.90 mt 82.74

Long: hold/bof 79-74 t 90 mt 00-10

3. Dwn

Short: bac 79/74 t 63 MT 57-50

30th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

30th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0745 FR GDP 0800 SP CPI 1015 EZ SPK
1300 GE CPI 1330 US PRCE IND 1500 US CONS CONF

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – Bull day with strong up close, T1 62.62 MT 62.81

Big Picture

60m – Up TR, for cont, hold 76-64 bac 62.38

10m – Up TR, for cont, hold 62.14 bac 62.32/38

Context Play

1. Cont

Long: hold 62.14 t 62.28-32 bac 38 t 62.50 t2 62.62 MT 62.80

Short: hold 62.80-93 t 62.50

2. PB

Short: hold/bof 62.32-38 t 61.25 bac 15 t 62.02 bac 00 MT 88

Long: Hold 88 -76 T00 t2 62.15

25th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

25th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0800 SP GDP 0930 UK GDP TBA OPEC
1330 US JOBS 1500 US SPK

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – ID HI@61.13 LO @60.63. M.BAR @ 61.32 / LO @ 60.59

Big Picture

60m – Down TR, PB ip, hold 61.18-33 and bac 60.59 for cont

10m – Up TR, for hold 60.82-77 and bac 61.13

Context Play

1. Balance

Short: hold/bof 32-47 t 13 t2 00

Long: hold/bof 66-56t 77 t2 95

2. Up

Long: bac 61.13 hold 61.10 on RRT, t 18 t2 25-32 bac 32 (watch for bof) t 47-53 (watch for bof)

3. Down

Short: bac 60.77 hold 85 on RRT, 65-59 (watch for bof), bac t 54-47

24th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

24th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0700 GE CONS CLIM 0930 ECB SPK 1035 GE AUC
1345 EZ DRAGHI 1500 US HOME SALES 1530 US CRUDE
1900 US FOMC

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – RANGE DAY WITH DOWN CLOSE

Big Picture

60m – Down TR, for cont, hold 60.99 and bac 60.47

10m – Down TR, for cont, hold 60.90-99 and bac 70.72 then 60.59

Context Play

1. Balance

Short: hold/bof 90-99 t 80-75

Long: hold/bof 68-59(54) t 80-85

2. Down

Short: bac 60.59 t 47 bac t 38 t2 28-17

3. Up

Long: bac 60.99 t 09 t2 17 t3 25

22nd May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

22nd May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

EZ EUROGROUP TBA 1500 US FED SPKERS

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – ID HI@ 61.55 L @ 61.17 MO.BAR HI @ 62.02 L 61.10

Big Picture

60m – Up TR, Pbip, tested 60bz, needs to bac 55 and then bac 62.02, but deep pullback indicates possible balance 62.02 to 61.10

10m – Down TR, for cont hold 61.36-46 and bac 61.17 and 61.10

Context Play

1. Balance

Short: hold / bof 61.55 t 61.30 t2 61.17

Longs: hold / bof 61.17-10 t 61.30 t 61.45

2. Down

Shorts: hold 61.36-40 bac 61.17 t 61.10 bac 61.10 t 60.99-87

Longs: hold 61.99-87 t 61.17

3. Up

Long: bac of 55 t 67 bac 67 t 84

16th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

16th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0900 IT GDP 0930 UK CPI 1000 EZ ZEW
1330 US BUILD 1415 US IND PROD

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – ID HI @ 60.99 AND LO @ 60.41

Big Picture

60m – Neutral TR, possible balance 61.00 – 60.00 BAC 60-98 OR 60.00 for dir

10m – Down TR, at bal mid so possible chop, for cont hold 68-76 and bac 60.46

Context Play

1. 10m TR CONT

Short: hold 68-76 T 60.46-41 (watch for id.bof) bac 41 t 28 t2 23-12

Longs: hold 23-12 or bof of 00 then longs t 41-50

2. Balance

Long: bof of 41 t 60 t2 68-76

Shorts: hold / bof 80-89 t 60-50

3. Up

Long: Bac 89 t 98 (watch for bof) bac 98 t 17

15th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

15th May – Bund Daily Trade Plan

News

0900 IT CPI 1245 ECB PRATT 1330 US EMP STATE

STATS

DBIAS Y.HI VAH POC Y.MID
VAL Y.LO

Previous Day – BOF OF 60.11 AND BULL DAY WITH STRONG UP CLOSE, BAC 61.00 T 6.146 T2 61.73-62.00

Big Picture

60m – Neutral TR, possible balance 61.00 – 60.00, for T/C to up, hold 60.60-50 and bac 61.00

10m – Up TR, but in VA extreme of poss bal. for cont, hold 76-65 bac 60.98 and 61.17 (beware of bull trap at 61.08-17)

Context Play

1. TR CONT

Longs: hold 60.83 or 60.74-65 T 98 bac 98 t 08-17 bac 17 t 26 bac 28 t 45 t2 63-73

2. TR PB

Shorts: hold/ bof 61.00-17 t 83 bac 83 t 76-65

Longs: hold /bof 75-65 t 98 bac 98 same T as TR cont

3. BAL

Shorts bac 65 and hold 80 on RRT T 56-50 bac 50 t 38 bac 38 t 28-20

Longs hold/bof 56-50 T 80