What is the Range and 1 SD?
Number range for last 6 months is 104k
1 SD Range for the last 6 months is 36k.
Is there a trend in the data?
Overall trend is down.
What number would constitute a change in the trend?
Above 200K would be a breakout of the current range.
What would be a big beat/miss?
Exp is for 175k
Between 135k to 215k. Would treat as inline / slight beat miss.
95 to 134k would be a miss. 216 to 255 would be a beat.
Below 94k would be a big miss and above 255k would be a big beat. ****
Notes – Out of the Last 12 NFPs’
In 7 cases, the low was made by 1345(3 miss and 4 beats)
In 4 cases, the high was made by 1345 (4 miss)
What is Range Profile on the Bund in ticks
Last 12 NFP
What is the Daily / 240 Structure
Hypo NFP EXP = 175K
Trying a slightly different tactics this month. Same sets up but just going with the flow. (IM = initial move. SM = Secondary move)